Accumulated Balance: Nominal vs. Discounted
Annual Cash Flows
Detailed Discounted Cash Flows
| Year | Nominal Cash Flow (FC) | Discount Factor | Discounted Cash Flow (VP) | Accumulated Nominal Balance | Accumulated Discounted Balance |
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Evaluate the economic viability of projects, investments, and equipment acquisitions. Calculate the Net Present Value (NPV) to discount future cash flows, determine the Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and estimate the Discounted Payback under a Minimum Attractive Rate (MAR).
| Year | Nominal Cash Flow (FC) | Discount Factor | Discounted Cash Flow (VP) | Accumulated Nominal Balance | Accumulated Discounted Balance |
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When analyzing the financial viability of projects or the purchase of productive assets (such as machinery or opening a branch), simple financial mathematics formulas, such as the nominal sum of future profits, are insufficient. This is because money has a time value (a dollar of profit today is worth more than a dollar of profit in 5 years). To overcome this, we use NPV, IRR, and MAR.
MAR represents the minimum interest rate that an investor requires to invest their capital in a project. It reflects the opportunity cost (how much the capital would yield if invested in a risk-free option, such as the Treasury rate or CDI (interbank rate)) plus the risk premium of the project itself.
For example, if the investor can obtain 10% p.a. in fixed income without risk, the MAR for opening a business should be significantly higher (e.g., 15% p.a.) to compensate for the uncertainty of the operation.
NPV brings all future cash flows generated by the project back to the present date, applying the MAR discount rate, and subtracts the initial investment. In practical terms, it indicates whether the project generates additional value beyond the minimum required rate.
IRR is the intrinsic yield rate of the investment project. It is defined mathematically as the interest rate that zeros out the NPV of the project. In decision-making, we compare IRR to MAR:
The Discounted Payback is the time needed to recover the initial investment, considering the time value of money. Unlike the Simple Payback, which only sums nominal profits until it breaks even, the Discounted Payback brings each future profit to its present value using the MAR, calculating the real time it will take for the investor to recover the initial capital.
IRR assumes that all intermediate cash flows are reinvested at the same IRR, which is not always realistic (the MAR or financial market rate is a more plausible reinvestment rate). Additionally, if annual cash flows alternate between positive and negative (sign change), the project may have multiple IRRs or no real solution, in which case NPV is a more reliable indicator.
To define the MAR, start with the risk-free savings rate (such as the Treasury rate or CDI (interbank rate)). Then, add a risk rate proportional to the business risk (micro-franchises typically have higher risks than expanding an already consolidated company). If you are financing part of the capital, the MAR should also cover the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC).